Big Fed Rate Cut Doesn't Translate Into Lower Mortgage Rates In Katy, Houston Texas
Home buyers looking to lock in a low mortgage rate my have bee surprised that the 3/4 point rate cut by the Fed had little impact on mortgage rates. There are several reasons for this. First and foremost is the fact that the market normally prices in any Fed actions well before the Fed actually pulls the trigger. Financial markets adjust far more rapidly than any governmental agency.
A second factor is that mortgages are sensitive to inflation and/or perceived inflation risk. The fact that the Fed is cutting rates increases the likelihood that the market will experience inflation later on. When you make borrowing less expensive you increase the possibility of applying too much stimulus and thereby causing prices to spike.
A third factor in the current economic environment is the sub-prime fallout. Banks are still adjusting to the new (old) reality of real market risk. Many banks have been burned by risky loans which are now spilling out of their balance sheets. The mess has now spilled over into the prime market for mortgages, meaning that borrowers with even stellar credit are having to pay a little extra for the bank's bad judgment. Mortgage rates should be a full half point lower or more were it not for the added sub-prime risk premium being tacked on to all mortgages.
If you want to get a better handle on where mortgage rates are headed, take a look at the 10 year bond. When bond prices rise, mortgage rates usually fall along with bond yields. This normally coincides with a poor day for stocks.
For more information about real estate and mortgage issues in Katy or West Houston contact Aaron Layman. He is a licensed real estate broker and mortgage broker. You can contact him directly at 281-994-5190. You can also visit him on the web at www.AaronLayman.com.